Monday, August 13, 2007

A Prediction

I'll go out on a limb and predict Hillary will be the Dem nominee. Okay, that's not the out on a limb part. The out on a limb part is that Barak Obama will not be the veep nominee.

I don't think Hillary will take the risk that voters are ready to vote for both a woman and a black to lead this country. Regardless of how sad we think that may be (and I do) Hillary is too much a pragmatist and too cautious to take that chance.

I also think Hillary knows that veep candidates really don't help that much in the general election. They can cause lots of harm, but they can't really help outside their home state. I think she'll make a more conservative pick. If Bill Richardson could stop shooting himself in the mouth it could be him. It would still be an historic first -- a Latino veep -- and he has oodles more experience than the freshman Sen. from Illinois. And he was Secy of Energy (for a fellow named Bill) which could come in handy as the next administration grapples with global warming and energy policy.

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